1 Jul · 12:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1474
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sopivnyk
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Varlamov covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Sopivnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H8-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.