1 Jul · 16:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1487
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mrykh
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1483
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sopivnyk🌟Sopivnyk covers set handicap as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.