1 Jul · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1474
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Varlamov
DH
🇺🇦Daniil Habrelyan
ELO 1428
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Varlamov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H21-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-17)