1 Jul · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1474
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tiutiunnyk
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1539
FormWLLWL
43%
57%
🌟Varlamov covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Tiutiunnyk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H15-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-13)