1 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
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🇺🇦Anatolii Dulich
ELO 1497
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Dulich
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1466
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Melnik stays under total as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Dulich
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.