1 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1531
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Holub
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1466
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Jnr stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Holub
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H28-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-22)