1 Jul · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YL
🇺🇦Yurii Leymanovsky
ELO 1572
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1639
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)