1 Jul · 14:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1622
FormWLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Balabei
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1738
FormWLWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H87-87
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)