1 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1457
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skhabitskiy
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1433
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+24
H2H2-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.