1 Jul · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1677
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Balabei
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1738
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kryshtal🌟Kryshtal covers set handicap as underdog 62% (29)
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+61
H2H56-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-26)