1 Jul · 15:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1457
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1483
FormLLWLW
47%
53%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H19-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.