1 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1429
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skhabitskiy
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1457
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Kondratenko stays under total as underdog 64% (25)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+28
H2H27-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.