1 Jul · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1547
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Yurkov
DY
🇺🇦Dmytro Yurkov
ELO 1622
FormWLLLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H56-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-17)