1 Jul · 15:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vana
ELO 1581
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Provaznik
LP
🇺🇦Lukas Provaznik
ELO 1581
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Provaznik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.