1 Jul · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pavlik
AP
🇺🇦Adam Pavlik
ELO 1525
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
🌟Merkl covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Pavlik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)