1 Jul · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇺🇦Lukas Provaznik
ELO 1581
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Provaznik
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1552
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Kolman covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Provaznik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.