2 Jul · 00:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuliukov
ELO 1544
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kulishov
HK
🇺🇦Hryhorii Kulishov
ELO 1549
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kulishov🌟Chuliukov covers set handicap as underdog 77% (26)
Fair odds · Kulishov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H79-68
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.