1 Jul · 16:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vitalii Sydorenko
ELO 1478
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Elfemov
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Elfemov
ELO 1499
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sydorenko🌟Elfemov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Elfemov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.