1 Jul · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1529
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vana
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vana
ELO 1581
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Vana
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)