1 Jul · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Elfemov
ELO 1499
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Korobov
OK
🇺🇦Oleksii Korobov
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Elfemov covers set handicap as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Korobov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)