1 Jul · 16:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1528
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Gnoevoy
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1444
FormWWLLL
59%
41%
⚡ Cover lean · Gnoevoy🌟Naida stays under total as underdog 71% (24)
Fair odds · Gnoevoy
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H69-87
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)