1 Jul · 14:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1585
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Loboda
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1574
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H47-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.