1 Jul · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kobets
ELO 1510
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kobets
AP
🇺🇦Andrii Peretiatko
ELO 1434
FormWWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kobets
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H45-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-29)