1 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1544
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bielokon
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Skliar
ELO 1514
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
🌟Bielokon rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Bielokon
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.