2 Jul · 03:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kobets
ELO 1510
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chuliukov
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuliukov
ELO 1544
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Kobets covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Chuliukov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H62-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.