1 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1528
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Abalmaz
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1589
FormLWWLL
43%
57%
🌟Gnoevoy covers set handicap as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Abalmaz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H37-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-35)