1 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kanka
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1512
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
🌟Merkl covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Kanka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H18-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.