1 Jul · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1544
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bielokon
IE
🇺🇦Ivan Elfemov
ELO 1499
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Elfemov🌟Bielokon rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Bielokon
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)