1 Jul · 21:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YB
🇺🇦Yevhen Bielokon
ELO 1544
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Korobov
OK
🇺🇦Oleksii Korobov
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Bielokon covers set handicap as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Korobov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.