1 Jul · 18:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DD
🇺🇦Dmytro Derevynskyi
ELO 1546
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Derevynskyi
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1444
FormWWLLL
61%
39%
🌟Naida stays under total as underdog 71% (24)
Fair odds · Derevynskyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H43-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-37)