2 Jul · 03:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YS
🇺🇦Yevhenii Sokoltsov
ELO 1447
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sokoltsov
AP
🇺🇦Andrii Peretiatko
ELO 1434
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Sokoltsov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H23-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.