1 Jul · 19:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DD
🇺🇦Dmytro Derevynskyi
ELO 1546
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Derevynskyi
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1528
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Gnoevoy covers set handicap as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Derevynskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H35-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.