1 Jul · 21:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Durovic
RD
🇺🇦Roman Durovic
ELO 1529
FormWWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Pisa covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Durovic
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.