1 Jul · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇺🇦Jan Botka
ELO 1498
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maly
PM
🇺🇦Petr Maly
ELO 1563
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Maly
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)