1 Jul · 20:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1444
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Naida
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1444
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Naida🌟Naida rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (34)
Fair odds · Naida
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H45-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.