2 Jul · 03:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ER
🇺🇦Eduard Rubtsov
ELO 1427
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kovalchuk
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
ELO 1432
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H74-60
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.