1 Jul · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇺🇦Petr Maly
ELO 1563
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Maly
EO
🇺🇦Evzen Ondracek
ELO 1489
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Maly
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)