2 Jul · 03:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mishchenko
ELO 1526
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chepurnyi
AC
🇺🇦Artem Chepurnyi
ELO 1566
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
🌟Mishchenko stays under total as underdog 68% (28)
Fair odds · Chepurnyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H75-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.