1 Jul · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1444
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Gnoevoy
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1528
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Gnoevoy covers set handicap as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Gnoevoy
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H55-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-32)