2 Jul · 01:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Skachenko
ELO 1348
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kovalchuk
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr V Kovalchuk
ELO 1432
FormLLLWW
41%
59%
🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H15-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-13)