1 Jul · 15:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1368
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Priadko
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1358
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H6-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.