1 Jul · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YL
🇺🇦Yurii Leymanovsky
ELO 1577
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Leymanovsky
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1550
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Leymanovsky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.