1 Jul · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VL
🇺🇦Vasyl Laskavyi
ELO 1298
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Aldayev
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1358
FormLLWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Aldayev
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~72 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)