1 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolos
ELO 1382
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kolos
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1358
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kolos
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~71 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H17-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.