2 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1528
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vorsuliak
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1568
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
🌟Vorsuliak stays under total as favourite 69% (26)
Fair odds · Vorsuliak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.