2 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1317
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Badanin
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Badanin
ELO 1391
FormWWLLL
42%
58%
🌟Urezchenko rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (17)
Fair odds · Badanin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H20-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-18)