2 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1475
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1496
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.