2 Jul · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moroz
ELO 1252
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Senyk
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1254
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Senyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~86 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H12-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.