2 Jul · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1577
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1636
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Romaniak covers set handicap as underdog 81% (36)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H26-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-22)