3 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1636
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1665
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shcherbak🌟Pesternikov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (24)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H33-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.